Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Tottenham v Cardiff

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 23)

Tottenham v Cardiff – Sunday 4.30pm

Just the one bet from me this weekend as I’ve struggled to find anything that I really like the
look of. The one bet that ticks my boxes however is Under 2.5 Goals as 5th place Spurs
entertain 19th place Cardiff. Much has been made about Tottenham’s inconsistent form
following their European exploits – five of their seven League defeats have come after
playing in the Europa League on a Thursday – and I’m looking for this to continue against the Welsh side who have the joint worst away record having managed just one win, six points and seven goals so far this season. My betting model indicates that there is a 63% chance of there being no more than two goals in the match, so with BetVictor offering odds as high as 2.15, this is above my target odds of 1.74 and looks to be a decent value bet.

The suggested bets are backed up by the following stats:

  • At White Hart Lane, Tottenham have averaged 1.15 goals For and 1.38 goals Against, scoring in 77% and conceding in 54% of home games. Away from home, Cardiff have scored an average 0.54 goals and conceded an average 2.00 goals, whilst scoring in 39% and conceding in 85% of away games.
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in 61% of Tottenham home games and 61% of Cardiff away games.

I also like the look of Cardiff on the Asian Handicap, particularly around the 1.5 AH mark,
however at the time of writing the odds have fallen lower than I’d like. Should the odds
increase back up to the evens mark, then this could be another option.

Suggested Bet:
Tottenham v Cardiff Under 2.5 Goals 2.15 at BetVictor  [WON]

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(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 22)

Arsenal v Sunderland and Celta Vigo v Getafe – Saturday at 3pm and 5pm

The first bet is at the Emirates for Sunderland’s visit to Arsenal. 2nd place Arsenal sit just 1 point off leaders Chelsea, however have failed to win in their last 2 games. By contrast, 18th place lost last time out, however prior to this, were on a 4 game unbeaten streak, and despite their lowly position, are on a 6 game unbeaten run on the road. My model indicates that Arsenal are favourites for the game, however there is no value here. My model indicates that Under 2.5 goals is likely, giving a 68% chance of there being less than 3
goals. With numerous bookies offering Under 2.5 Goals as high as 2.1 – anything above 1.62 is value for me – I feel that backing Unders offers good value, particularly considering that the Arsenal players may still be lethargic after Wednesday’s workout against Bayern.

The second bet I like the look of is also Under 2.5 goals in La Liga as 11th place Celta Vigo entertain 16th place Getafe. The home side are on a good run of form with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 fixtures. At home, this extends to 5 games unbeaten and 11 points collected from a possible 15. By contrast, Getafe’s last League win was back in December – a run of 9 games – which has seen them lose 7 and draw 2. Away from home paints a similar picture with 5 straight defeats. My model indicates a 70% chance of there being no more than 2 goals in this fixture, meaning anything above 1.56 is value. With BetVictor offering Unders at 1.83, I feel this provides decent value.

The suggested bets are backed up by the following stats:

  • At the Emirates, Arsenal have scored in 84.6% and conceded in 30.8% of games, whilst averaging 1.69 goals For and 0.46 goals Against. On the road, Sunderland have scored in 50.0% and conceded in 66.7% of away games, scoring an average 1.00 goal whilst conceding an average 1.42 goals per game.
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in 76.9% of Arsenal home games and 50.0% of Sunderland away games. Interestingly, Arsenal’s last 9 consecutive home have failed to have 3 goals or more – the last time Overs landed in an Arsenal home match was against Norwich on 19th October.
  • At home, Celta Vigo have averaged 1.08 goals For and 1.25 goals Against, and have managed to score in 50.0% and concede in 83.3% of home games. Away from home, Getafe have scored an average 0.64 goals whilst conceding an average 1.91 goals. The visitors have scored in 36.4% and conceded in 72.7% of away games, however have failed to find the back of the net in the last 5 consecutive away games.
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in 58.3% of Celta Vigo home games and 72.7% of Getafe away games this season.

Suggested Bets:
Arsenal v Sunderland Under 2.5 Goals at 2.1 (Various, inc SkyBet and Ladbrokes)  [LOSS]
Celta Vigo v Getafe Under 2.5 Goals at 1.83 (BetVictor)  [WON]

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Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Aston Villa v West Ham & Nurnberg v Bayern Munich

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 21)

Aston Villa v West Ham and Nurnberg v Bayern Munich – Saturday 3pm and Saturday 2.30pm

The first suggested bet of the weekend is Under 2.5 Goals in the game between Aston Villa v West Ham. The visitors followed up their impressive defensive display at Chelsea with a 2-0 win over Swansea last Saturday to record just their second win in the last 11 League fixtures. The victory came at a price however, with Big Sam yet again being without striker Andy Carroll who picked up a red card which will see him suspended for the next 3 games. After picking up a thoroughly deserved point at Liverpool then 3 points in the Midlands Derby against West Brom, Villa suffered defeat last weekend at Everton despite being in the lead with just 15 minutes remaining. My model indicating a 74% chance of Under 2.5 Goals in the game, meaning that I’d be happy with anything above 1.5 as a value bet. With BetVictor and 32Red offering a generous 1.85 considering both sides’ struggles for goals, I feel this is a decent value bet.

The second bet I like the look of is Both Teams To Score No in the Nurnberg v Bayern Munich clash. After failing to win in all 17 games before the winter break, 15th place Nurnberg look rejuvenated and have managed victories in both games since the season started up again. By contrast, the juggernaut that is Bayern continues to roll on. A 5-0 win over Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend was the 44th consecutive game without defeat for the Bavarian club who sit 13 points clear at the top of the table. My betting model highlights BTTS No as a value bet, suggesting there is a 77% chance of neither, or only one, team scoring in the game. This indicates that anything above 1.45 should be considered value, so with Winner offering BTTS No at 2.05, this looks to be slightly mispriced in my eyes despite Nurnberg’s recent improvement in front of goal.

The suggested bets are backed up by the following stats:

  • At Villa Park, Aston Villa have scored in 50% and conceded in 83% of games, averaging 1 goal For and 1.58 goals Against per game. Whereas on the road, West Ham have scored in 50% and conceded in 50% of away games, scoring an average 0.75 goals and conceding an average 1.17 goals per game.
  • There has been Over 2.5 Goals in 42% of Aston Villa home games and 42% of West Ham away games. However, Villa have only scored 2 or more goals in 25% of home fixtures and West Ham have only managed 2 or more goals in 17% of away games.
  • At home, Nurnberg have averaged 1 goal For and 1.56 goals Against per game. They have scored in 56% and conceded in 78% of home games, with BTTS Yes in 44%. By contrast, away from the Allianz Arena, Bayern have scored an average 2.56 goals and conceded an average 0.44 goals per game. This includes Bayern scoring in 100% and conceding in 44% of away games, with BTTS Yes in 44%.

Suggested Bets:
Aston Villa v West Ham Under 2.5 Goals at 1.85 (BetVictor and 32Red)  [WON]
Nurnberg v Bayern Munich Both Teams To Score No at 2.05 (Winner)  [WON]

Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Arsenal v Crystal Palace & Real Betis v Espanyol

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 20)

Arsenal v Crystal Palace and Real Betis v Espanyol – Sunday at 4pm

After dropping points against Southampton mid-week, 2nd place Arsenal entertain 14th place Crystal Palace, who have moved up the table after 2 consecutive victories. My betting model highlights significant value in the Under 2.5 Goal market in this game, indicating a 67% chance of there being less than 3 goals in the game. This means that from an odds perspective, I’d be happy to take anything above 1.66. With SkyBet offering Unders as high as 2.25, I feel the bookies have priced this on team name rather than stats.

The 2nd bet I’m looking at is in La Liga as 20th placed Real Betis host 9th place Espanyol. Despite failing to win in 14 games, 7 of these being at home, Real Betis are priced as favourites against the team from Barcelona. My betting model makes Espanyol favourites rather than the hosts, giving a 57% chance of victory. The bet that interests me though is Espanyol Draw No Bet which can be found with BetVictor at 2.38, which is significantly above the odds I’d be happy to take of 1.4, derived from a probability of 72%. Similarly to the Arsenal fixture, Espanyol DNB provides significant value and is one I’m comfortable taking knowing that the stake will be returned if the match ends as a draw.

The suggested bets are backed up by the following stats from this season:

  • Arsenal have scored in 92% and conceded in 33% of home games, averaging 1.83 goals For and 0.50 goals Against. Crystal Palace have scored in 46% and conceded in 82% of away games, scoring an average 0.45 goals and conceding an average 1.55 goals.
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in 75% of Arsenal home games and 73% of Crystal Palace away games.
  • At home, Real Betis have won 18%, drawn 27% and lost 55% of games, collecting 27.3% of available points – this includes draws in 29% and losses in 71% of the last 7 home games. On the road, Espanyol have won 20%, drawn 30% and lost 50% of games, collecting 30% of available points – this includes 25% wins, 50% draws and 25% losses in the last 4 away games.
  • Real Betis have scored in 64% and conceded in 73% of home games, averaging 0.91 goals For and 1.73 goals Against. Espanyol have scored in 60% and conceded in 80% of away games, averaging 1.10 goals For and 1.40 goals Against.

Suggested Bets:
Arsenal v Crystal Palace: Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 (SkyBet)  [WON]
Real Betis v Espanyol: Espanyol Draw No Bet at 2.38 (BetVictor)  [LOST]

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Shot Analysis: Berko FC 1-0 London Lions FC

After 3 postponed games in 2014, Berkhamsted finally got the second half of their Spartan South Midlands Football League (SSMFL) season underway at home to London Lions on Saturday 18th January.

Despite the close scoreline, Berko dominated for the majority of the game and should really have won more comfortably considering the amount of possession and shots they had.  In total, Berko had 27 attempts on goal, however will be dis   appointed that just 8 of these were on target (29.6%) and that only 1 goal was scored (3.7% conversion rate).  The Comrades rarely looked like conceding at the other end however as they nullified the Lions’ attack, allowing 9 shots on goal throughout the match, many of which were from distance, with just 1 of these efforts testing Carl Tasker in Berko’s goal.  The home side prevented the Lions having their first attempt until 35 minutes of play, with the away side’s only shot on target coming in the 55th minute.

Berko’s leading goalscorer Connor Calcutt (no. 9) was the busiest in front of goal with 7 shots.  He was unable to add to his goal tally this season, although he did hit the crossbar early on and tested the opposition goalkeeper 3 times in the first half.  Of players to have had more than 1 shot in the game, substitute Ashley Morrissey (no. 12) was the only player to get all of his attempts on target.  The midfielder had 3 shots in the second half, producing a good double save from the goalkeeper before seeing his third effort blocked on the line by a defender.

If Berko’s shooting wasn’t quite up to normal standards, neither was their aerial efforts.  Ed Canham (no. 5) had 2 headers from around the 6-yard box in the first half and will be disappointed not to have found the target with either effort.  Similarly, James Bent (no. 8) and Dan Griggs (no. 2) both missed headers in good central positions in the 18-yard box when on another day they would have found the target.  Berko’s goal came via Frankie Jowle (no. 7) just after half-time as he intercepted a back-pass and rounded the keeper to slot the ball into an empty net.

The following images give a visual representation of both Berko and London Lions’ shots in the 1st and 2nd halves, with detail of from where the shot was taken and where it ended up (Arrows), which player had the attempt (Shirt Number), the type of shot (Shot, Head) and the outcome of the attempt (Goal, Save, Wide, Over, Crossbar, Block).

1st Half
Berkhamsted’s ShotsBerko 1st half

Lions’ ShotsLions 1st half

2nd Half
Berkhamsted’s ShotsBerko 2nd half

Lions’ ShotsLions 2nd half

Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Swansea v Tottenham & Chelsea v Man Utd

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 18)

Swansea v Tottenham and Chelsea v Man Utd – Sunday 1.30pm and 4.30pm

My preview for this week looks at the two Sunday kick-offs in the Premier League as 13th place Swansea entertain 6th place Spurs, whilst 7th place Man Utd travel to Stamford Bridge to face 3rd place Chelsea.

The bet I’m selecting for both games is Over 2.5 Goals which is available at odds of 2.00 with various bookies, although these odds look to be dropping slightly in the run up to the games. Starting at the Liberty Stadium, my model suggests that there is a 65% chance of there being 3 or more goals in the game, indicating that anything above odds of 1.7 is a decent value bet. Similarly, my model highlights a 67% probability of there being Over 2.5 goals in the Chelsea v Man Utd fixture, meaning that value can be found with odds above 1.63. I’m not one to back multiple bets myself, but I’m sure the Over 2.5 Goals double is
appealing to some at odds of 4.00.

Below are a few stats to back up the suggested bets:

  • At home, Swansea have averaged 1.80 goals For and 1.70 goals Against, whilst Spurs have averaged 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per away games.
  • Swansea have scored in 90% and conceded in 70% of home games, scoring 2 or more goals in 50% and conceding 2 or more goals in 60% of these home games. Tottenham have scored in 70% and conceded in 60% of away games, finding the back of the net 2 or more times in 50% and conceding more than 2 goals in 20% of these away games.
  • There has been Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of Swansea home games and 50% of Spurs away games.
  • At Stamford Bridge, Chelsea have scored an average 2.20 goals and conceded an average 0.80 goals, compared to Man Utd who have have averaged 2.10 goals For and 1.40 goals Against per away game.
  • Chelsea have scored in 100% and conceded in 70% of home games, scoring 2 or more goals in 90% and conceding 2 or more goals in 10% of these home fixtures. Man Utd have scored in 90% and conceded in 80% of away games, scoring 2 or more goals in 70% and conceding 2 or more goals in 40% of away games.
  • There has been Over 2.5 Goals in 70% of Chelsea home games and 80% of Man Utd away games.

Suggested Bets:
Swansea v Spurs Over 2.5 Goals at 2 (various, including, Coral and Bet365)  [WON]
Chelsea v Man Utd Over 2.5 Goals at 2 (various, including William Hill and Bet365)  [WON]

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Stat Attack: Berko FC’s Season So Far In Numbers

With just over half the season complete, Berko sit in 3rd place in the SSMFL within touching distance of Ampthill Town and Hanwell Town.  We take a look back at some of Berko’s key stats and facts from the 2013/14 season so far.

PERFORMANCE

Overall

  • 75% – Percentage of League games won (3rd highest in League)
  • 12.5% – Percentage of League games lost (3rd lowest in League)
  • 2.96 – Average goals scored per game (3rd highest in League)
  • 1.13 – Average goals conceded per game (4th lowest in League)
  • 2.38 – Average points per game (joint 2nd highest in League)
  • 79% – Percentage of available points collected (joint 2nd highest in League)

At Broadwater

  • 90.9% – Percentage of League games won (2nd highest in League)
  • 9.1% – Percentage of League games lost (2nd lowest in League)
  • 3.64 – Average goals scored per game (2nd highest in League)
  • 1.00 – Average goals conceded per game (joint 3rd lowest in League)
  • 2.73 – Average points per game (2nd highest in League)
  • 91% – Percentage of available points collected (2nd highest in League)

On The Road

  • 61.5% – Percentage of League games won (4th highest in League)
  • 15.4% – Percentage of League games lost (2nd lowest in League)
  • 2.38 – Average goals scored per game (6th highest in League)
  • 1.23 – Average goals conceded per game (4th lowest in League)
  • 2.08 – Average points per game (4th highest in League)
  • 69% – Percentage of available points collected (4th highest in League)

STREAKS

  • 6 – Longest win sequence (Tue 13th Aug to Tue 17th Sep)
  • 1 – Longest losing sequence (Sat 10th Aug, Sat 12th Oct and Sat 23rd Nov)
  • 9 – Longest unbeaten sequence (Tue 13th Aug to Sat 5th Oct)
  • 2 – Longest winless streak (Wed 13th Nov to Sat 23rd Nov)
  • 23 – Longest scoring streak (Tue 13th Aug to present)
  • 1 – Longest fail to score streak (Sat 10th Aug)
  • 9-1 – Biggest win (Hatfield Town, Tue 29th Oct)
  • 3-0 – Biggest defeat (Hanwell Town, Sat 10th Aug)
  • 10 - Most goals in a game (Hatfield Town, Tue 29th Oct)
  • 4 – Games won by 1 goal
  • 6 – Games won by 2 goals
  • 1 – Games won by 3 goals
  • 4 – Games won by 4 goals
  • 2 - Games won by 5+ goals

ATTENDANCE

  • 58 – Lowest attendance at Broadwater (3rd highest in League)
  • 248 – Highest attendance at Broadwater (1st highest in League)
  • 96 – Average attendance at Broadwater (2nd highest in League)
  • 681 – Total miles travelled to and from away games
  • 46 – Furthest distance travelled (Biggleswade United, Sat 7th Dec)
  • 7 – Shortest distance travelled (London Lions @ Hemel, Wed 13th Nov)

PLAYERS

  • 28 – Total players used
  • 22 – Most appearances (Tasker, Calcutt, Frederick, Towell)
  • 22 – Most starts (Tasker and Calcutt)
  • 11 – Most substitute appearances (Morrissey)
  • 20 – Most goals (Calcutt)
  • 16 – Most games scored in (Calcutt)
  • 4 – Most goals in a match (Canham)
  • 2 – Most hat-tricks (Chamberlain)

Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Tottenham v Crystal Palace

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 17)

Tottenham v Crystal Palace – Saturday 3pm

My first preview of the New Year takes us to White Hart Lane for the visit of 18th place Crystal Palace to 6th place Spurs. Both teams have seen improvements in form since the sackings of AVB and Holloway, with Sherwood still unbeaten as Spurs manager with 3 wins and 1 draw, whilst Pulis has introduced more defensive steal to Palace which has seen them win 3, draw 1 and lose 4 to move up from the bottom of the table.

My betting model highlights 2 value bets of interest for this game – the first on the Asian Handicap and the second on the goals market. Spurs are undoubtedly favourites to pick up the 3 points, however I believe that the value in the market is with Palace and not the home side. Therefore, I’m going with Palace on the Asian Handicap at +1.5 which is available with Ladbrokes for a generous 1.84. My model suggests that there is more than a 75% chance of Palace +1.5 on the Asian Handicap, indicating that odds above 1.29 represent value. The second bet I’m looking at is Under 2.5 Goals which can be found with various bookies for as high as 2.1 as they appear to be favouring Overs in this match. My model indicates that there is actually a 77% chance of there being less than 3 goals, meaning that odds above 1.43 represent a value bet and at 2.1, there is plenty of value to be had here.

Below are a few stats to back up the suggested bets:

  • Spurs have won 40%, drawn 30% and lost 30% of games at White Hart Lane, collecting 50% of available points. Away from home, Palace have won 20%, drawn 0% and lost 80% of games, collecting 20% of the points on offer.
  • Tottenham have scored in 70% and conceded in 60% of home games, averaging 1.10 goals For and 1.30 goals Against. On the other hand, Crystal Palace have scored in 50% and conceded in 80% of away games, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded.
  • There has been Under 2.5 Goals in 60% of Tottenham home games and 70% of Crystal Palace away games this season.
  • The +1.5 Asian Handicap has won in 80% of Spurs home games and 60% of Palace away games this season, including 100% of Palace’s 4 away games under Pulis.

Suggested Bets:
Crystal Palace +1.5 Asian Handicap at 1.84 (Ladbrokes)  [LOSS]
Under 2.5 Goals at 2.1 (Various, including Stan James and BetVictor)  [WON]

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Fabian Delph – The Premier League’s Most Underrated English Midfielder?

delph.gif-446861The majority of Aston Villa fans would argue that Delph has been the club’s standout player of 2013, with the combative midfielder’s form winning him 3 consecutive player of the month awards for August, September and October already this season. Joining manager Paul Lambert and teammate Karim El Ahmadi’s recent calls for Delph to be included in the England squad, pundit Jamie Carragher has jumped on the bandwagon and has urged England boss Roy Hodgson to take a closer look at Villa’s midfield dynamo.

Carragher recently wrote for Sky Sports “…one of Villa’s outstanding players over the last 18 months has been Fabian Delph and there’s no reason he can’t force his way into England’s plans…I would be surprised if Roy and his staff are not looking closely at him as the World Cup approaches…”.

The stats also back up Delph’s impressive performances, rating him as one of the top English midfielders this season. According to WhoScored, Delph is the best performer at Villa Park this season with a WhoScored rating of 7.45. More impressively, Delph is the joint 2nd highest rated English midfielder in the Premier League behind Steven Gerrard who has a WhoScored rating of 7.68. This puts Delph comfortably above other England World Cup hopefuls vying to secure a seat on the plane to Brazil, including Gareth Barry 7.45, Adam Lallana 7.24, Michael Carrick 7.18, Frank Lampard 7.16, Ross Barkley 7.1, Scott Parker 6.84, Tom Cleverley 6.76 and Jack Wilshere 6.75.

So what could Delph bring to the England set-up? Defensively, Delph possesses energy, aggression and a good reading of the game which can help break up opposition attacks. His performance against Arsenal on the opening day of the season is a great example of this. According to WhoScored, Delph averages 3.2 tackles per game which is more than any other English midfielder. He also makes 2.2 interceptions per game, which only Michael Carrick, Phil Jones, Bradley Johnson and Mark Noble can better from an English midfield perspective.

Going forward, Delph brings power, pace, close control and the ability to find a teammate. According to WhoScored, Delph averages 44.5 passes per game for Villa and boasts an 82.5% pass success rate to make him a key component of the Midlands club’s 3 man midfield. With 2.5 successful dribbles per game, only Andros Townsend and Ross Barkley complete more per match, whilst Delph wins an average 2.6 fouls per game which is the 5th highest in the entire Premier League, perhaps suggesting that the opposition have identified Delph as a key man to stop when facing Villa.

Two criticisms of Delph’s game has been his lack of goals as well as his love for a mistimed tackle. The midfielder does seem to be improving on these facets of his game however, which can only help his International ambitions. Delph recently scored his first Premier League goal away to Southampton, and despite already picking up 4 yellow cards this season, Delph is committing less fouls than last season.

Brazil 2014 might come too soon for Delph, however if the midfielder continues to impress with his performances and in the wake of Gerrard and Lampard’s impending retirements, it is surely only a matter of time before Delph is recognised at International level.Fabian-Delph-Leeds-United-England-Under-19_1074587

Premier Betting Weekly Insider: Villarreal v Sevilla & Celta Vigo v Osasuna

(Written for and featured in Premier Betting’s The Weekly Insider Newsletter Vol 3, Issue 16)

Villarreal v Sevilla – Saturday 3pm & Celta Vigo v Osasuna – Sunday 8pm

Not the best of selections last week as Leverkusen lost at home in the League for the first time since March and there was a surprising lack of goals – Leverkusen’s run had to stop sometime, but I didn’t see it coming against a struggling Frankfurt side! This week, my preview takes us to Spain for the first time for two Over / Under bets in La Liga.

The first bet is Over 2.5 Goals in the Villarreal v Sevilla game which can be found for a best price of 1.95 with Stan James. My betting model indicates that there is likely to be goals as 5th place entertain 7th, with anything above 1.41 representing value to me, so at just under evens this looks to be a decent value bet.

The second bet is Under 2.5 Goals as Osasuna visit Celta Vigo in a battle of 17th versus 16th. My model suggests that goals will be hard to come by in this fixture, with anything above 1.43 representing value for Unders. BetVictor and 32Red are currently offering two or less goals at 1.83 which again seems a reasonable value bet.

Below are a few stats to back up the suggested bets:

  • At home, Villarreal have averaged 1.88 goals For and 1.13 goals Against. Away from home, Sevilla have scored an average 1.75 goals and conceded an average 2.25 goals.
  • Villarreal have scored in 88% and conceded in 88% of home games, whilst Sevilla have scored in 87.5% and conceded in 88% of away games.
  • There has been Over 2.5 Goals in 63% of Villarreal home games and 75% of Sevilla away games.
  • At home, Celta Vigo average 0.75 goals For and 1.38 goals Against. Away from home, Osasuna average 0.63 goals For and 2.00 goals Against.
  • Celta Vigo have scored in 38% and conceded in 88% of home games, whilst Osasuna have scored in 63% and conceded in 75% of away games.
  • There has been Over 2.5 Goals in 38% of Celta Vigo home games and 63% of Osasuna away games.

Suggested Bets:
Villarreal v Sevilla Over 2.5 Goals at 1.95 (Stan James)  [WON]
Osasuna v Celta Vigo Under 2.5 Goals at 1.83 (BetVictor and 32Red)  [WON]

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